ECODESIGN STRATEGIES FOR PEACE
Philip S. Wenz
February, 2003
The solutions that ecological design proposes for the worlds
manifold problems are usually implemented gradually. It takes a
full season to grow an organic garden. It takes years, or even decades,
to plan and build an ecovillage. The coming transition from a fossil
fuel to a solar/hydrogen energy economy could also take decades,
and may have to wait for a geopolitical cataclysm to get underway.
If it ever gets underway, that is.
The Bush Administrations planned invasion of Iraq is laden
with the potential to touch off a regional or even pan-Islamic war
that could rapidly spin out of control and involveengulfthe
entire planet. War supporters who expect this action to be a rerun
of Americas recent campaigns in Panama, Kuwait or Afghanistandirty
but quickare likely to be in for an unpleasant surprise. The
problem doesnt lie in winning the first phase
of the war, i.e., bombing Iraq into submission and Baghdad into
a pile of rocks while killing or capturing Saddham Hussein. America
has total air superiority and the will to kill as many Iraqis as
necessary to pave the way for its invading troops.
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Can we design a solution that takes advantage
of the latent potentialities of a complex system to produce
the desirable emergent property of an emergency response?
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The greatest danger lies in the period of Americas occupation
of Iraq, the weeks, months and years that follow the initial action.
(Make no mistake that the Pentagon plans to maintain a permanent,
substantial military presence in Iraq.) It is then that we may
expect reprisals by those still-very-active and widespread Muslim
terrorist groups whose cachet among their people will be sharply
enhanced by the nightly broadcasts of American planes bombing and
American soldiers occupying Muslim cities. We can also expect counter-reprisals
by a desperate American military that finds that the enemy lies
beyond yet another border.
Speaking of borders,
Iran twice has been threatened publicly by President Bush. Forewarned
is forearmed. Now that she knows herself to be an Axis-of-Evil state,
soon to be surrounded on two of her principal frontiers, Afghanistan
and Iraq, by substantial American garrisons, Iran has every incentive
to accelerate whatever nascent weapons-of-mass-destruction programs
she may be nurturing. Meanwhile Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, tenuous
American allies with vast, seething under classes comprised predominantly
of fundamentalist Muslims, could explode given the right stimulusa
first-strike American invasion of a Muslim state, for example.
Speaking of reprisals, war is seldom a one-way affair, a turkey
shoot, despite the fact that Americas victory
in Afghanistan has apparently lulled the superpowers military
and populace into a dangerous presumption of invincibility. One
of Saddhams megalomaniacal and corrupt sons last week threatened
that if the U.S. attacks Iraq, its people will suffer pain that
will make 9/11 look like a picnic. Unless there is some
sort of charade going on, in which the Bush and Hussein cadres are
secretly conspiring to exploit world tensions, it would be suicidal
for the U.S. authorities to ignore that threat.
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Can the same governmental agencies that have
failed to locate Osama bin Laden and other Al Queda leaders
be trusted to protect us against such attacks?
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Give credence, for the moment, to Bushs argument that Saddham
is hiding weapons of mass destruction that he has no compunction
about using. What better way to put that theory to the test than
engaging this fanatic in what he considers the final battle against
the Forces of Satan? If there are hidden stocks of anthrax and nerve
gas, when would they be most likely to be deployed? And, where?
While the American invaders and Israel are obvious targets, who
is to say that Iraqi operatives have not already installed dirty
bombs in Washington and other U.S. Cities? Can the same governmental
agencies that have failed to locate Osama bin Laden and other Al
Queda leaders be trusted to protect us against such attacks?
Speak of the devil, or at least the demonized human, bin Laden
himself surfaced on tape just a day before this article went live.
He urged Muslims everywhere, in the event of an American attack
on Iraq, to revolt against western-influenced Muslim governments
and attack Americans using any means possible, including sucide
bombings.
One attack leads to another, of course. If we are hit by more terrorism
at home or abroad we will strike againand again. So will they.
This largely predictable escalation of an American/Iraqi war into
a regional or world war has the potential, within one to five years
of its beginning, to alter beyond current recognition not only the
worlds political landscape, but its physical environment as
well. President Bush has threatened preemptive nuclear attack against
any country which an unspecified group of decision makers within
the government secretly decides poses a threat to American security.
Though Russia and China do not seem to be candidates for preemptive
attack at this time, there is nothing written in the Bush Doctrine
to keep them from becoming targets in the future. And of course
they have the capacity to strike back.
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War only accelerates environmental catastrophe.
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Meanwhile, ongoing environmentally destructive processes such as
global warming and desertification will be largely ignored by populations
and governments faced with immediate annihilation through armed
conflict or its resultant famine, drought and displacement. War
only accelerates environmental catastrophe.
Along with these frightening and very real possibilities, however,
the current political situation also has the potential, slim as
the odds may seem, to set us on the path to a solar/hydrogen, organic,
diversified, egalitarian and harmonious future. The seeds for that
future already have been planted. But before the immanent military
conflict, it was possible for ecological designers to believe and
hope, albeit with a dash of that healthy denial that allows dreamers
to succeed, that we still had a few decades to cultivate them. It
is now clear that we no longer enjoy even that paltry allowance.
If events unfold as they well might, there will be no going forward
to a bright future. The hour has come when our seeds must sprout
and grow or die.
The challenge for the worldwide ecological design community is
to find, within the principles of its craft, the means to design
and implement a sufficiently powerful and rapidly deployed strategy
for the prevention of war, then the dissemination of peace. Are
we limited to making gradual improvements such as gardens and ecovillages
and hoping that well survive long enough to turn things around?
Or, can we design a solution that takes advantage of the latent
potentialities of a complex system to produce the desirable emergent
property of an emergency response?
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Ecosystems on every scale from local ponds
to the biosphere depend on cooperation and the development
of communicating networks to sustain themselves.
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I believe that designing and implementing an emergency response
is entirely possible. Ecological design models human systems on
natural ecosystems. Designers can draw upon, combine and restructure
any chosen aspect of those ecosystems to achieve the desired result,
so long as they design whole systems that are integrated within
themselves and in relationship to their environment (stick within
the rules that govern the ecosystems themselves). We only need to
understand where the current system is dysfunctional, and to understand
the guiding principles by which analogous functional systems organize
and regulate themselves to design successfully. In principle, we
can design any sort of response to operate in any time frame that
is appropriate.
What are the operating principles by which natural
ecosystems have sustained life on this planet for 3.6 billion years?
They are the opposite of the fragmentation and divisiveness that
characterize nationalism and hierarchical human politics.
Ecosystems on every scale from local ponds to the biosphere depend
on cooperation and the development of communicating networks to
sustain themselves. Cooperation and communication between its components
(networking) is what allows a living system to coordinate and regulate
its energy flows so that it can build its own structure and even
regulate, or at least participate in the regulation of its environment.
From the individual organism, which is merely a collection of interacting
cells or cellular components aiming to feed and grow itself, to
the biosphere where life as a whole regulates the planets
atmosphere, ambient temperature and global nutrient cycles, cooperative
networking is the modus operandi, almost the very definition
of a living system.
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...emergent properties tend not to develop
as well in top-down or centralized command systems (branching
structures) as they do
in distributed networks (cross-linked or web structures)
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Living networks are highly-responsive (fast-acting) and diverse.
Communication in nature is often instantaneous, as living systems
must constantly adjust themselves to changing internal and external
conditions.
By creating increasingly diverse and complex networks, life enhances
its ability to develop emergent properties, new forms which
can adapt with impressive rapidity to changing conditions, surmounting
threats while profiting from opportunities.
Note that emergent properties tend not to develop as well in top-down
or centralized command systems (branching structures) as they do
in distributed networks (cross-linked or web structures) where components
on all levels have more or less equal access to communicate or interact
with one another. Nature employs branching structures, but has learned
to subordinate them to the more efficient and flexible distributed
networks. Due to the fragmentation of early hominid habitats and
other historical accidents, humans adopted and still are largely
dependent on branching structures.
The components of distributed networks dont have to have
equal status to create an equal effect. Although hierarchies form
naturally between groups of components, a single component generating
a sufficiently strong impulse can influence the entire system, one
factor that lends resilience and adaptability to the system.
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The components
of distributed
networks don't
have to have equal
status to create
an equal effect.
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How can these ecosystemic operating principles be applied to create
a system to prevent war? First, lets look at the resources
available to those who wish to change the current course of events.
Principal among them is the internet. With its millions upon
millions of nodes (individual computers), available to almost anyone
who wants to learn a few basic skills, its potential for informing,
activating and coordinating expressions of mass sentiment is unprecedented.
Well before the current crisis, the internet showed its value in
coordinating mass demonstration such as the Battle of Seattle
World Trade Organization protests. (I am not advocating violence,
which, unfortunately, the media was able to use to characterize
the whole of the primarily peaceful Seattle demonstrations. I am
advocating the use of the internet to promote mass-scale, nonviolent
resistance to the initiation of aggression by any country.)
Large-scale demonstrations tend to be coordinated and planned well
in advance by activist organizations, however, as well they should
be. They are an example of a gathering, a happening, that needs
at least a modicum or centralized coordination in order to be effective
and keep people safe, which, after all, is the point. And while
it is important, if you oppose the proposed war to show up and have
your body counted (and become energized) at mass demonstrations,
it is at least equally important to multiply yourself, so to speak,
using the very tool on which you are reading this essay.
The internets capacity to develop emergency response systems
capable of massive, spontaneous or rapid information transfer and
subsequent informed action lays largely untapped. Most of our information
about the international situation comes through top-down branching
networks such as news services. We know what they want us to know
when they want us to know it, and any debate on the issues is framed
in their context. While I do not maintain that this is a cause for
paranoiaoverall people are better informed now than everI
do believe that it is a cause for caution, especially when the disseminating
organization has or is controlled by vested interests. In any case,
why not know what a citizen of France, Pakistan, Egypt or even Iraq
knows? More importantly, why not let them know what you know, or
think?
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The vast majority of American people do not
hate Arabs or Muslims, nor do they hate us, despite the impressions
given by many of our respective governments and corporations.
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On a distributed network you can, with the click of a button, send
a good email you have received on, say, conditions in Iraqi orphanages
to 100 of your friends, 50 news services, your Congressional representatives
(and everyone elses) and a massive mailing list of the authorities
and citizens of the above mentioned France, Pakistan, Egypt and
Iraq. There are millions of connections that can be made to ordinary,
non-vested citizens of the worlda world in which roughly 80
percent of the people oppose the war plans.
One thing those people need to know is that the American people
are not united in support of their governments drive toward
war. What we can learn from them is that despite the parameters
of the public debate set by the mass media on how many governments
America has bribed, coerced or actually persuaded to accompany it
to war, the vast majority of people oppose armed intervention.
The vast majority of American people do not hate Arabs or Muslims,
nor do they hate us, despite the impressions given by many of our
respective governments and corporations. The possibilities for person-to-person
or group-to-group linking are enormous.
Two emergent phenomena that were latent
in the networking potentialities of the internet and have recently
manifested themselves, or self-organized are worth mentioning
in this regard. The first is ad hoc mass gatherings or internet-connected
people. In a recent lecture in San Francisco former Wired Magazine
editor Howard
Rheingold, talking about his new book Smart
Mobs, The Next Social Revolution, describes a remarkable event
in which, On January 20, 2001, President Joseph Estrada of
the Philippines became the first head of state in history to lose
power to a smart mob.
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When used as an emergency response tool, a
blog has enormous powers of self-replication
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When a Senate Committee comprised of the of the crooked leaders
friends abruptly called off investigations into Estradas administration,
ordinary Filipino citizens began sending each other cell phone text
messages saying simply Go 2EDSA. Wear black With a click
of a button, each citizen resent the message to everyone on his
or her phone list until, Rheingold tells us, More than a million
Manila residents, mobilized and coordinated by waves of text messages
assembled at the site of the 1986 People Power peaceful
demonstrations (the seat of Government) that had toppled the Marcos
regime. Less than four days passed from the time the Senate
closed the hearings and the Smart Mob toppled the Estrada government.
The second emergent phenomena is known as the web log, or blog.
During his Smart Mobs talk, Rheingold noted that in the 18 months
since the internet was supposed to be in decline due
to the dot bomb demise of first wave commercialization,
several million personal blogs, the latest emergence combining networking
software and the human need for expression into a new metapattern
for communication networks, have appeared.
The web site Blogger,
which provides software allowing individuals to create their own
blogs in about five minutes, and for free, describes blogs as follows:
A blog is a web page made up of usually short, frequently updated
posts that are arranged chronologicallylike a what's new
page or a journal. The content and purposes of blogs varies greatlyfrom
links and commentary about other web sites, to news about a company/person/idea,
to diaries, photos, poetry, mini-essays, project updates, even
fiction. Blog posts are like instant messages to the web.
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The biosphere is a single system, and its people,
like the biological organisms which support them, are connected
through the air they breath, the water they drink, the nutrients
they share. Humans also share common aspirations.
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When used as an emergency response tool, a blog has enormous powers
of self-replication. In one quick posting, the blogs editor
can analyze a news article, post another article or quotes therefrom,
write rapid-response or in-depth commentary, link to numerous sites
with common viewpoints or relevant information and, in what could
be the blogs most powerful capacity, allow others to post
as well, creating an ongoing forum or a collectively produced publication.
When combined with email messages announcing new site postings and
asking that the readers pass the word along to everyone on their
email lists in phone-tree fashion, the blog, or the interlocking
network of all related blogs, has the potential to become a predominant
force in global information dissemination and politics. (To learn
how to create and maintain blogs, visit master blogger Rebecca
Blood, author of the Weblog Handbook, on her own blog.)
Mobbing and blogging are harbingers of things to come. No doubt
other creative communication "technologies" are waiting
to emerge from the complex system we call the internet. The ecological
design principle that diversity leads to greater potential for new
forms to arise should be kept in mind by anyone trying to shape
information. The greatest power is in letting go, and trusting that
the truth always finds a way to emerge.
The biosphere is a single system, and its people, like the biological
organisms that support them, are connected through the air they
breath, the water they drink, the nutrients they share. Humans also
share common aspirations. While the planets other organisms
network unconsciously, humans can do it at will, whether for pleasure
or out of necessity. We now have the tools and knowledge to abandon
dysfunctional hierarchical models and follow natures guidance
by connecting person-to-person and group-to-group, planet-wide,
for the mutual benefit of all. Taking advantage of those tools and
knowledge still can guarantee a secure future.
The bad news is that this may be our last chance. The good news
is that we are as powerful as we choose to be.
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